A weather system is set to enter northern Pakistan beginning tomorrow, leading to increased rainfall across Kashmir, upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and northeastern Punjab. This development is expected to impact several key regions over the coming days.
Between July 7 and 10, heavy precipitation is forecasted in the upper catchment areas of the Indus River. Additionally, rainfall is anticipated in the upper reaches of the Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi, and Sutlej rivers, which are vital for the region’s water resources.
On July 7 specifically, the intensity of rainfall is predicted to rise notably in Islamabad, the Potohar plateau, and Azad Jammu and Kashmir. Meanwhile, increased rain activity may also be observed in Gilgit-Baltistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, northern Punjab, and northern Balochistan.
In a significant development, the expected rains could cause a moderate increase in water inflow to the Tarbela and Mangla dams. Similarly, water levels in the Indus, Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi, and Sutlej rivers might experience slight rises. Despite these changes, there is currently no indication of widespread river flooding.
However, sudden surges in water flow are possible in hill torrents and smaller seasonal streams, which could trigger localized flooding in vulnerable upper areas. Urban centers may also face challenges such as waterlogging and flooding in low-lying zones during periods of heavy rainfall.
Moreover, the risk of landslides remains a concern in the hilly terrains of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Azad Kashmir, posing potential hazards to communities in these regions.
